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2005 Political Methodology Summer Conference

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2005 Political Methodology Conference Program

Final Program

Below is a the full program for the conference. As links to papers become available, they will be added. The following links provide more information for Paper Presenters and for Poster Presenters. A separate page as been created that provides all of the Poster Titles and Authors.

 

Wednesday, July 20

6:30 PM: Cocktails – Andrews
7:30 PM: Dinner – Andrews

Thursday, July 21

8:00 - 9:00: Breakfast – Oglesby Union Ballrooms
8:45 - 9:00: Welcome

9:00 - 10:15: Paper Presentation

“Death by Survey: Estimating Adult Mortality without Selection Bias” by Gary King, Harvard, King@Harvard.Edu and Emmanuela Gakidou

Disc. Doug Rivers, Stanford, rivers@stanford.edu

10:15 - 10:30: Break

10:30 - 11:45: Paper Presentation

“A Method for Weighting Survey Samples of Low-Incidence Voters” by Jonathan Nagler, NYU, jonathan.nagler@nyu.edu and R. Michael Alvarez, Cal Tech, rma@hss.caltech.edu

Disc. Walter Mebane, Cornell University, wrm1@macht.arts.cornell.edu

11:45 - 1:15: Lunch

1:15 - 2:30: Paper Presentation

“The Phantom Menace Revisited” by Kevin Clarke, University of Rochester, kevin.clarke@rochester.edu

Disc. Michele Claibourn, University of Virginia, mclaibourn@virginia.edu

2:30 - 2:45: Break

2:45 - 4:00: Paper Presentation

“Attributing Effects to a Get-Out-The-Vote Campaign Using Full Matching” by Jake Bowers, University of Michigan, jwbowers@umich.edu and Ben Hansen, University of Michigan, bbh@umich.edu

Disc. Shawn Treier, University of Georgia, satreier@uga.edu

4:00 - 4:15: Break

4:15 - 5:30: Paper Presentation

"Genetic Matching for Estimating Causal Effects: A New Method of Achieving Balance in Observational Studies" by Jasjeet Sekhon, UC-Berkeley, sekhon@berkeley.edu and Alexis Diamond, Harvard, adiamond@fas.harvard.edu

Disc. Phil Schrodt, University of Kansas, schrodt@ku.edu

5:30 - 6:00: Cocktails - Oglesby Union Ballrooms

6:00 - ??: Dinner - Oglesby Union Ballrooms

Friday, July 22

8:00 – 9:00 AM: Breakfast – Oglesby Union Ballrooms

Graduate students may begin setting up posters at 8:00 AM. Conference attendees will be able to browse through the posters all day Friday leading up to the formal Poster Session Friday night (check out the Poster Titles Here).

9:00 - 10: 15: Paper Presentation

“Unemployment and Political Violence in Northern Ireland” by James Honaker, UCLA, tercer@ucla.edu

Disc. Garrett Glasgow, UC Santa Barbara, glasgow@polsci.ucsb.edu

10:15 - 10:30: Break

10:30 - 11:30: Special Presentation

"Bayesian Inference of Extremes: An Application in Modeling Coastal Hurricane Winds." James B. Elsner, Professor, Department of Geography, Florida State University (PowerPoint Slides Here)

11:30 - 1:15: Lunch
(Graduate Students should finish setting up Posters)

1:15 - 2:30: Paper Presentation

“Bridging Institutions and Time: Creating Comparable Preference Estimates” by Michael Bailey, Georgetown University, baileyma@georgetown.edu

Disc. Jeffrey Lewis, UCLA, jblewis@ucla.edu

2:30 - 2:45: Break

2:45 - 4:00: Paper Presentation

“Measuring District Preferences with Implications for the Study of U.S. Elections” by Simon Jackman, Stanford, jackman@stanford.edu, Matthew S. Levendusky, and Jeremy C. Pope.

Disc. Chris Achen, Princeton University, achen@princeton.edu

4:00 - 4:15: Break

4:15 - 5:30: Paper Presentation

“Recovering Ideological Information from Divisions of the UK House of Commons” by Kevin Quinn, Harvard, kevin_quinn@harvard.edu, and Arthur Spirling, Rochester, spln@mail.rochester.edu

Disc. Andrew Martin, Washington University, admartin@wustl.edu

5:30 - 6:00: Cocktails

6:00 - 7:00: Dinner

7:00 - 9:00: Graduate Student Poster Session (List of Titles and Authors Here)
(Refreshments and a Special Dessert will be provided!)

Saturday, July 23

8:00 – 9:00 AM: Breakfast – Oglesby Union Ballrooms

9:00 - 10: 15: Paper Presentation

“Designing and Analyzing Randomized Experiments” by Kosuke Imai, Princeton, kimai@princeton.edu, Y. Horiuchi, Australian National University, and N. Taniguchi, Teikyo University.

Disc. Jonathan Katz, California Institute of Technology, jkatz@caltech.edu

10:15 - 10:30: Break

10:30 - 11:45: Paper Presentation

“Revisiting Dynamic Specification” by Suzanna De Boef, Penn State University, sdeboef@psu.edu and Luke Keele, Oxford and Ohio State, luke.keele@politics.ox.ac.uk

Disc. Neal Beck, NYU, nathaniel.beck@nyu.edu

11:45 - 1:15: Lunch

1:15 - 2:30: Paper Presentation

“Higher-Order Markov Models” by David Epstein, Columbia, de11@columbia.edu Robert Bates, and Sharyn O’Halloran

Disc. Jeff Gill, UC-Davis, jgill@ucdavis.edu

2:30 - 3:00: Break

3:00 - 4:15: Paper Presentation

“Votes to Seats Rules and Representation in PR Electoral Systems” by John Jackson, University of Michigan, jjacksn@umich.edu

Disc. Shigeo Hirano, Columbia University, shirano@post.harvard.edu

4:15 - 4:30: Break

4:30 - 5:00(ish): Methods Section Business Meeting

5:00(ish) - 5:45: Cocktails

5:45 - ??: Dinner

 

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